League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 0
Exeter

Laird (45+2')
Leonard (36'), Klarer (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Woods (12'), McMillan (34'), Watts (52'), Harper (69')
McMillan (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Exeter City
68.71% ( 0.35)	19.13% ( -0.22)	12.16% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 46.43% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

0.62)

45.58% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

0.58)

67.9% (

-0.59)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

0.28)

12.18% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.18% (

0.59)

37.82% (

-0.59)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.87% (

0.16)

47.12% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42% (

0.12)

82.58% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 68.7%

Exeter City 12.16%

Draw 19.13%

Birmingham City	Draw	Exeter City
2-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 68.7%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.13%	0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.16%