Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Birmingham City
23.33% ( -0.16)	23.83% ( -0.01)	52.84% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

-0.14)

47.36% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-0.13)

69.58% (

0.12)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

-0.22)

34.61% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0.23)

71.33% (

0.23)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

0.01)

17.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

0.02)

48.65% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 23.33%

Birmingham City 52.84%

Draw 23.83%

Swindon Town	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 6.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.33%	1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 52.84%