EFL Trophy
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 21' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 76' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 47'
  • goal Ayumu Yokoyama 49'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 51'
  • goal Harry Smith 89' (OG)

Swindon Town vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 23.33% (-0.17)
Draw 23.83% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 52.84% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.7% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.64% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 47.36% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 30.42% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.58% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.96% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.04% (+0.09)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 34.61% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 28.67% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 71.33% (+0.23)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 82.12% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.88% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.65% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 23.33%
Draw 23.83%
Birmingham City 52.84%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.83%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 10.65% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.17% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.26% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.84%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2019 1.00pm
6
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Dan Crowley 5' goal
  • Isaac Vassell 19' goal
  • Odin Bailey 29' goal
  • Craig Gardner 33' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 74' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 84' goal
  • goal Michael Doughty 65'