Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.