Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.