League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

The DW Stadium

Wigan
0 - 3
Birmingham

Sibbick (42'), Kerr (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

May (18', 30'), Thor Willumsson (61')
Iwata (12'), Davies (13'), Harris (44'), Laird (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Wigan
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Birmingham City
26.9% ( -0.19)	26.5% ( -0.07)	46.59% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.76% (

0.14)

55.23% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53% (

0.11)

76.46% (

-0.11)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.09)

35.83% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

-0.09)

72.6% (

0.09)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

0.18)

23.69% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.26)

57.8% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 26.9%

Birmingham City 46.59%

Draw 26.5%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.9%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 12.22% 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.59%