/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
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Mickey Demetriou
64'
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fian-holloway.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Swindon Town
40.19%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
26.87%
▲
(+0.19)
Crewe Alexandra
32.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
50.88%
▼
(-0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.79%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
54.21%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
24.38%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 3.5
75.61%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
10.97%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
89.03%
▲
(+0.39)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
73.54%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
26.46%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
38.36%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
61.64%
▲
(+0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
69.19%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
30.81%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
32.91%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
67.09%
▲
(+0.47)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
40.19%
Draw
26.86%
Crewe Alexandra
32.95%
Swindon Town
1-0
@
10.84%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
Draw
1-1
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%
Head to Head
-
Elliott Nevitt
13'
-
Elliott Nevitt
13'
-
Conor Thomas
56'
-
Courtney Baker-Richardson
71'
-
Aaron Rowe
72'
-
Elliott Nevitt
90'+4'
-
Liam Kinsella
17'
-
Liam Kinsella
17'
-
Harrison Minturn
20'
-
Harrison Minturn
20'
-
Charlie Austin
30'
-
Charlie Austin
30'
-
Charlie Austin
34'
-
Charlie Austin
34'
-
Udoka Godwin-Malife
21'
-
George McEachran
26'
-
Jake Young
47'
-
Murphy Mahoney
82'
-
Frazer Blake-Tracy
87'
-
Tom Brewitt
90'+6'
-
Rio Adebisi
15'
-
Jack Powell
15'
-
Lee Bell
16'
-
Zac Williams
20'
-
Conor Thomas
23'
-
Zac Williams
60'
-
Chris Long
67'
-
Rio Adebisi
85'
-
Harvey Davies
90'+2'