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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 0
Crewe

FT

Demetriou (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.142 -0.14)26.87% (0.181 0.18)32.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.732 -0.73)54.21% (0.73500000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.616 -0.62)75.61% (0.617 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)26.46% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.556 -0.56)61.64% (0.559 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.393 -0.39)30.81% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.465 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
> Preview