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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 38.11% ( | 27.62% ( | 34.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( | 56.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( | 77.83% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( | 28.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( | 64.8% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( | 31.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( | 67.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.26% |