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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Cheltenham
2 - 1
Crewe

Colwill (70', 83')
Bowman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lankester (56')
Holicek (34'), Connolly (51'), Tracey (68'), Williams (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Colchester
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
38.11% (0.017000000000003 0.02)27.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)34.27% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08% (0.090000000000003 0.09)56.92% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (0.072000000000003 0.07)77.83% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.054999999999993 0.05)28.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (0.069000000000003 0.07)64.8% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (0.051000000000002 0.05)31.31% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (0.058 0.06)67.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.11%
    Crewe Alexandra 34.26%
    Draw 27.62%
Cheltenham TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.26%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Crewe

Cheltenham Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Crewe Alexandra
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
1-2
Crewe
Etete (48')
Boyle (31'), Wright (61')
Long (18'), Porter (83')
Griffiths (26'), Johnson (64')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Crewe
1-1
Cheltenham
Mandron (28')
Ramsay (65')
Williams (40')
Williams (45+1')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Cheltenham
2-1
Crewe
Azaz (2'), Lloyd (94')
Freestone (30'), May (80')
Porter (63')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
1-0
Cheltenham
Ng (69')

Long (78'), Greaves (84'), May (93')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cheltenham
1-1
Crewe
Reilly (9')
Doyle-Hayes (40'), Hussey (54'), Varney (66')
Porter (45')
Hunt (17'), Powell (44'), Ng (49'), Jones (58')
Ng (70')
rhs 2.0


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