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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
| 41.2% ( | 26.91% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( | 54.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( | 75.98% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( | 26.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( | 68.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.88% |