Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.