Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Cheltenham Town

Gillingham
2 - 2
Cheltenham

Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
45.79% (0.745 0.74)26.33% (0.041 0.04)27.87% (-0.785 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.561 -0.56)54.04% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.472 -0.47)75.47% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.161 0.16)57.59% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.904 -0.9)34.4% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.979 -0.98)71.11% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.79%
    Cheltenham Town 27.87%
    Draw 26.33%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Cheltenham

Gillingham
53.3%
Draw
40.0%
Cheltenham Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cheltenham
2-2
Gillingham
Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')
Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Gillingham
0-2
Cheltenham

Ehmer (53')
Long (30'), May (60')
Flinders (69')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cheltenham
1-0
Gillingham
Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
First Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cheltenham win 5-4 on penalties)
Oliver (20')
May (24')