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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
| 37.3% ( | 26.21% ( | 36.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( | 51.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( | 72.93% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( | 26.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( | 61.83% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( | 27.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( | 62.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.3% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.48% |