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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 43.09% ( | 25.87% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( | 23.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( | 57.38% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( | 66.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.05% |