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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
43.09% ( 0.11) | 25.87% ( 0.04) | 31.05% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.23) | 50.7% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.2) | 72.6% ( 0.21) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.04) | 23.39% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( -0.07) | 57.38% ( 0.07) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( -0.22) | 30.33% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( -0.26) | 66.52% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |