League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 1
Crewe

White (9')
Sherring (49'), Gilbey (75'), Hogan (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight-Lebel (55')
Conway (62'), Knight-Lebel (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
40.36% ( 0.06)	26.41% ( -0.02)	33.22% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.69% (

0.07)

52.31% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.99% (

0.06)

74.01% (

-0.06)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

0.07)

25.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

0.09)

60.34% (

-0.08)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

29.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.01)

65.73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 40.36%

Crewe Alexandra 33.22%

Draw 26.41%

MK Dons	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.36%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.22%