League Two Gameweek 23
MK Dons
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Crewe
  • Joe White 9' goal
  • Sam Sherring 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 75' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Knight-Lebel 55'
  • yellowcard Max Conway 62'
  • yellowcard Jamie Knight-Lebel 88'

MK Dons vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Cheltenham 2 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jack Lankester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

MK Dons 40.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 26.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Crewe Alexandra 33.22% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88% ▼ (-0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 39.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 60.34% ▼ (-0.09)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 70.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

MK Dons 40.36%
Draw 26.41%
Crewe Alexandra 33.22%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.41%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 39
MK Dons
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadium mk
Crewe
  • Matthew Dennis 5' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 22' goal
  • Stephen Wearne 25' goal
  • Lewis Bate 62' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 70' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 72' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Nevitt 19'
  • yellowcard Ed Turns 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan Cooney 72'
League Two Gameweek 6
Crewe
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
MK Dons
  • Conor Thomas 55' yellowcard
  • Conor Thomas 62' goal
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 69' goal
  • Connor O'Riordan 89' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 90' goal
  • Aaron Rowe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Harvey Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Leko 8'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 75'
League One Gameweek 40
MK Dons
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Crewe
  • Troy Parrott 24' goal
  • Conor Coventry 40' goal
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 86'
  • goal Bassala Sambou 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 16
Crewe
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
MK Dons
  • Chris Long 52' goal
  • J'Neil Lloyd-Bennett 69' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 12'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 58'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 64'
  • goal Donervon Daniels 82' (OG)
  • goal Max Watters 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 40
MK Dons
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium mk
Crewe
  • goal Mikael Mandron 15'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 20'
  • yellowcard Olly Lancashire 77'
  • yellowcard Ryan Wintle 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 3
Crewe
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
MK Dons
  • Mikael Mandron 13' goal
  • Oliver Finney 20' goal
  • Oliver Finney 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Gladwin 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 57'
  • yellowcard Scott Fraser 65'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 90'+4'

Form Data

MK Dons 0 - 2 Notts County
Newport 6 - 3 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 1 Gillingham
MK Dons 3 - 0 Chesterfield
MK Dons 3 - 2 Cheltenham
MK Dons 1 - 3 Leyton Orient
Cheltenham 2 - 1 Crewe
Crewe 0 - 0 Colchester
Grimsby Town 0 - 2 Crewe
Wrexham 1 - 0 Crewe
Crewe 1 - 1 Bradford
Carlisle 1 - 1 Crewe