League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Swindon

Tilley (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (10')
Wright (88'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Swindon Town
53.59% ( 0.08)	24.03% ( 0.05)	22.38% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.91% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

-0.35)

49.16% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

-0.32)

71.23% (

0.32)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.1)

18.27% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.17)

49.33% (

0.17)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51% (

-0.32)

36.48% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

-0.33)

73.27% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 53.59%

Swindon Town 22.38%

Draw 24.02%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.59%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.38%