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Chris Long
32'
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Zac Williams
35'
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Jamie Knight-Lebel
86'
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Max Conway
90'+2'
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Omar Bogle
90'+3'
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Jack Lankester
90'+8'
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Sam Lavelle
8'
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Jack Ellis
21'
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Harrison Neal
53'
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Kadeem Harris
78'
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Gabriel Breeze
84'
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Harrison Biggins
90'+6'
Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Carlisle United Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.9%
0-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.45%
1-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.63%
Jamie Devitt
18'