League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
3 - 2
Carlisle

Long (32'), Bogle (90+3'), Lankester (90+8')
Williams (35'), Knight-Lebel (86'), Conway (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ellis (21'), Harris (78')
Lavelle (8'), Neal (53'), Breeze (84'), Biggins (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Crewe
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Carlisle United
39.91% ( -0.02)	27.46% ( 0.01)	32.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.45% (

-0.03)

56.55% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.46% (

-0.02)

77.54% (

0.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.03)

27.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.03)

63.27% (

0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.01)

32.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.01)

68.71% (

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 39.9%

Carlisle United 32.63%

Draw 27.45%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.63%