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Championship header 2

League Two

Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Carlisle United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Carlisle


Shorrock (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Jones (8'), Neal (29'), Harper (39'), Lavelle (90'), Mellish (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bromley 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
40.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (0.011000000000003 0.01)54.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)61.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 40.11%
    Carlisle United 33%
    Draw 26.87%
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carlisle
2-1
Port Vale
Gibson (80' pen.), Mellish (90+3')
Robinson (23'), Mellish (45+1'), Moxon (51')
Garrity (49')
Iacovitti (33'), Wilson (65')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
1-0
Carlisle
Wilson (50' pen.)
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Carlisle
Abrahams (70'), Dickenson (77')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Port Vale
Toure (86')
Worrall (52')
rhs 2.0


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