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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Walsall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Walsall |
| 34.24% ( | 26.76% ( | 38.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( | 53.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( | 75.07% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( | 26.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( | 62.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.99% |