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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Notts County |
| 48.65% ( | 23.35% ( | 28% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( | 41.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( | 63.6% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( | 17.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( | 47.37% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( | 63.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 28% |