League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Accrington

Harris (11'), Armstrong (54')
Sadi (41'), Adu-Adjei (49'), Harper (50'), Breeze (81'), Jones (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (73')
Rawson (29'), Khumbeni (58'), Whalley (66'), Walton (71'), Hunter (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Morecambe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
38.8% ( 0)	26.88% ( 0)	34.32% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

-0.01)

54.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.01)

75.46% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-0)

27.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

-0)

62.54% (

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0)

29.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

-0.01)

65.91% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.79%

Accrington Stanley 34.32%

Draw 26.88%

Carlisle United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.79%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.32%