Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.