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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
| 31.35% ( | 25.6% ( | 43.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( | 49.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( | 71.52% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( | 29.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( | 65.53% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.35% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.05% |