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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 54.42% ( | 22.63% ( | 22.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( | 15.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.48% ( | 44.52% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( | 68.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 22.95% |