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Barnet
Barrow
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Notts County
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Salford City
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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Moor Lane
Notts County

Salford City
3 - 0
Notts County

McAleny (14'), Stockton (31', 54')
N'Mai (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bedeau (86'), Jatta (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-2 Notts County
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
54.42% (-0.25 -0.25)22.63% (0.107 0.11)22.95% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.317 -0.32)42.53% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.316 -0.32)64.93% (0.32000000000001 0.32)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.193 -0.19)15.56% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (-0.365 -0.37)44.52% (0.369 0.37)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)32.28% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)68.78% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 54.42%
    Notts County 22.95%
    Draw 22.63%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 22.95%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Notts County
1-2
Salford City
Crowley (53')
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')