League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Conor McAleny 14' goal
  • Cole Stockton 31' goal
  • Kelly N'Mai 47' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 54' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 86'
  • yellowcard Alassana Jatta 90'+2'

Salford City vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 0 Salford City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Walsall 3 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result

Salford City 54.42% (-0.25)
Draw 22.63% (+0.11)
Notts County 22.95% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.47% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 42.53% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 35.07% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 64.93% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 18.31% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 81.68% (+0.25)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 84.43% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 15.56% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 55.48% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 44.52% (+0.37)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 67.71% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.21% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.78% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Salford City 54.42%
Draw 22.63%
Notts County 22.95%
Salford City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 54.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.63%
Notts County
1-2 @ 5.97% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.68% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.21% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 22.95%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Dan Crowley 53' goal
  • goal Conor McAleny 31'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 49'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 80'
  • goal Conor McAleny 87'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Ethan Ingram 76' yellowcard
  • Conor McAleny 84' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 87' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal David McGoldrick 37'
  • goal Dan Crowley 63'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 68'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 89'
  • redcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'