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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon Town

Notts County
2 - 0
Swindon

McGoldrick (17', 36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kilkenny (29'), Delaney (58'), Clarke (82'), Wright (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Colchester
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
51.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.27%
    Swindon Town 26.13%
    Draw 22.59%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon

Notts County
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Swindon Town
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
1-2
Notts County
Kilkenny (21')
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')