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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 51.27% ( | 22.6% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( | 39.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( | 61.49% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% | 15.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% | 44.29% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 26.13% |