League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 17' goal
  • David McGoldrick 36' goal
  • yellowcard Gavin Kilkenny 29'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 58'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 82'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 85'

Notts County vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Notts County 1 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Swindon 3 - 2 Colchester
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 51.27% (-0.01)
Draw 22.6% (+0.01)
Swindon Town 26.13% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.96% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.84% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.16% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.49% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.96% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.04% (-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 84.55%
Under 0.5 15.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.71%
Under 1.5 44.29%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.9% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.52% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Notts County 51.27%
Draw 22.59%
Swindon Town 26.13%
Notts County
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
  • Gavin Kilkenny 21' goal
  • goal David McGoldrick 30'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 69'
  • goal David McGoldrick 80'
League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Aaron Drinan 19' goal
  • Ricky Aguiar 23' yellowcard
  • Williams Kokolo 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 73' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 83' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 72'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
  • Michael Doughty 38' yellowcard
  • Kaiyne Woolery 69' goal
  • Theo Robinson 74' goal
  • Theo Robinson 92' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 52'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Kane Hemmings 40' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 55' yellowcard
  • Jon Stead 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jak McCourt 15'
  • yellowcard Sid Nelson 43'
  • goal Steven Alzate 65'
  • goal Jamie Turley 80' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kyle Knoyle 90'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 90'
League Two
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Norris 47' goal
  • James Dunne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 17'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 90'