Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Walsall in this match.