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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 69.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Walsall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 69.91% ( | 18.85% ( | 11.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( | 46.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( | 68.97% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( | 12.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.19% ( | 37.81% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.54% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.72% ( | 84.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 13.35% ( 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 5-0 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 69.9% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 3.31% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.85% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 1-2 @ 3.14% ( 0-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 11.24% |