League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
3 - 5
Notts County

Stubbs (4'), Bowman (47'), Colwill (60')
John Flynn (29'), Payne (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jatta (26', 90+3'), Martin (39'), Abbott (58'), Austin (62')
Palmer (28'), Hinchy (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Notts County
39.46% ( 0.11)	25.22% ( 0.04)	35.33% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 56.83% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

-0.21)

46.79% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

-0.2)

69.05% (

0.2)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.04)

23.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

-0.05)

57.51% (

0.06)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

-0.19)

25.73% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0.25)

60.65% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 39.46%

Notts County 35.33%

Draw 25.21%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.46%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.33%