League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Bolton

Mitchell (54')
Richards (63'), McMillan (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (88'), Morley (90+1')
Schon (22'), Thomason (51'), Williams (62'), McAtee (81'), Forrester (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Exeter
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Bolton
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
37.75% ( -0)	25.11% ( -0)	37.13% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

0.01)

46.17% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

0.01)

68.46% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

24.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

58.38% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

0.01)

24.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14% (

0.01)

58.85% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 37.75%

Bolton Wanderers 37.13%

Draw 25.11%

Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.75%	1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.13%