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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 38.79% ( | 25.28% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( | 60.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.93% |