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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 40.93% ( | 25.93% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( | 28.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( | 64.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.14% |