League One Gameweek 29
Exeter
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 0 4
FT St James Park
Leyton Orient
  • Millenic Alli 47' goal
  • Millenic Alli 56' goal
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 5'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 7'
  • goal Sean Clare 14'
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 26'
  • goal Dilan Markanday 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Keeley 60'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 64'
  • goal Jamie Donley 78'
  • yellowcard Brandon Cooper 90'+1'

Exeter City vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 3 Blackpool
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Millenic Alli

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Charlie Kelman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 30.03% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 25.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Leyton Orient 44.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 69.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 32.83% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 67.16% ▲ (+0.12)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 43.66% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 56.34% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

Exeter City 30.03%
Draw 25.69%
Leyton Orient 44.28%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.28%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 9
Leyton Orient
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
Exeter
  • Dominic Ball 53' yellowcard
  • Jordan Brown 77' yellowcard
  • goal Amani Richards 40'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 44'
  • yellowcard Gary Caldwell 45'
  • yellowcard Jack McMillan 48'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 89'
  • redcard Caleb Watts 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brisbane Road
Exeter
  • Oliver O'Neill 36' goal
  • George Moncur 64' goal
  • goal Millenic Alli 88'
  • goal Tom Carroll 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Exeter
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
Leyton Orient
  • Demetri Mitchell 48' goal
  • Pedro Borges 90' yellowcard
  • Mitch Beardmore 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 45'+2'
  • goal Joe Pigott 55'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 59'
  • goal Ruel Sotiriou 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Exeter
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leyton Orient
  • Timothee Dieng 54' yellowcard
  • Jevani Brown 81' yellowcard
  • Cheick Diabate 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Thompson 24'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 75'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Exeter
  • Aaron Drinan 7' goal
  • Omar Beckles 25' goal
  • Tom James 59' yellowcard
  • Theo Archibald 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 25'
  • redcard Jonathan Grounds 74'
League Two Gameweek 34
Exeter
Mar 6, 2021 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. James' Park
Leyton Orient
  • Joel Randall 11' goal
  • Matt Jay 13' goal
  • Matt Jay 42' goal
  • Matt Jay 50' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Widdowson 27'
  • yellowcard Olatunji Akinola 49'
  • yellowcard Jamie Turley 75'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 86'

Form Data

Exeter 1 - 3 Blackpool
Peterborough 1 - 1 Exeter
Birmingham 1 - 0 Exeter
Exeter 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Exeter 1 - 2 Bolton
Wycombe 2 - 1 Exeter
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Reading
Leyton Orient 0 - 1 Stevenage
Peterborough 0 - 0 Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Derby
Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers 2 - 3 Leyton Orient