League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 6
Leyton Orient

Alli (47', 56')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Abdulai (5', 7', 64'), Clare (14'), Markanday (34'), Donley (78')
Galbraith (26'), Beckles (52'), Keeley (60'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-3 Blackpool
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Leyton Orient

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Leyton Orient
30.03% ( -0.15)	25.69% ( -0.02)	44.28% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

0.02)

50.38% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.02)

72.32% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.12% (

-0.09)

30.88% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83% (

-0.11)

67.16% (

0.12)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

0.09)

22.69% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

0.14)

56.34% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 30.03%

Leyton Orient 44.28%

Draw 25.69%

Exeter City	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 30.03%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.28%