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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Blackpool

Exeter
1 - 3
Blackpool

Alli (82')
Niskanen (86'), Niskanen (86')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hamilton (33'), Bloxham (43'), Fletcher (45+1')
Carey (13'), Tyrer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Blackpool

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBlackpool
34.24% (-0.531 -0.53)25.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)40.08% (0.465 0.47)
Both teams to score 55.05% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51% (-0.375 -0.38)49% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.342 -0.34)71.08% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.501 -0.5)27.42% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.653 -0.65)62.9% (0.65 0.65)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.15% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.106 0.11)58.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.24%
    Blackpool 40.08%
    Draw 25.67%
Exeter CityDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.08%

How you voted: Exeter vs Blackpool

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Blackpool
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Hamilton (19'), Husband (90+4')
Offiah (10'), Norburn (21'), Joseph (58'), Gabriel (75'), Evans (85'), Rhodes (87'), Tyrer (90+6')
Francis (88')
Woods (57'), Niskanen (70'), Crama (81'), Aitchison (85')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackpool
2-0
Exeter
Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
0-0
Blackpool
Carroll (14'), Caldwell (15'), Scott (82')
Hamilton (51')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Exeter
2-3
Blackpool
Tillson (69'), Abrahams (90')
Tillson (81')
Dodoo (2'), Cullen (19'), Pritchard (24')
Dodoo (72')
May 28, 2017 3pm
Final
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Potts (3'), Cullen (65')
Cullen (58'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Slocombe (92'), Flores (93'), Daniel (95')
Wheeler (40')
> Match Report