Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.