FA Cup
Jan 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Beto 42' goal
  • Beto 65' yellowcard
  • Iliman Ndiaye 90'+8' goal

Everton vs Peterborough United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Peterborough United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result

Everton 42.55% (-0.05)
Draw 24.07% (+0.02)
Peterborough United 33.37% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.43% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.1% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 41.89% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 35.7% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.3% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.79% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.21% (+0.05)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5 80.09% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 19.9% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.96% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.03% (+0.07)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 75.45% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.02% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Everton 42.55%
Draw 24.06%
Peterborough United 33.37%
Everton
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
Peterborough United
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.37%

Build-up

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