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Everton logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Peterborough United

Everton
2 - 0
Peterborough

Beto (42'), Ndiaye (90+8' pen.)
Beto (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Everton 1-0 Peterborough United

When trying to identify a potential cup upset this weekend, many may look to this fixture given Everton's dreadful recent form, but even with all of their troubles in attack, the hosts should be able to get past their League One opponents. Peterborough have never beaten top-flight opposition at this stage in the FA Cup, and Everton have not lost at home to a lower-league side in 14 years, so a place in round four should be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
42.55% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 24.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 33.37% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.43% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.064 -0.06)41.89% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.064 -0.06)64.3% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)19.9% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)52.03% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.54% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)59.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Everton 42.55%
    Peterborough United 33.37%
    Draw 24.06%
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Everton vs Peterborough

Everton
81.0%
Draw
10.1%
Peterborough United
8.9%
79
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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