Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.