Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Walsall

Peterborough
4 - 2
Walsall

Lindgren (7', 31'), Mothersille (16' pen., 74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Johnson (30'), Gordon (90+6')
Comley (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Peterborough United and Walsall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Everton 2-0 Peterborough
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Walsall

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 5-1 Tranmere
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawWalsall
41.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)22.68% (0.035 0.04)36.25% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Both teams to score 66.42% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.62% (-0.197 -0.2)34.38% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.71% (-0.222 -0.22)56.29% (0.222 0.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)17.42% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14% (-0.107 -0.11)47.86% (0.106 0.11)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.126 -0.13)19.56% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.208 -0.21)51.47% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 41.07%
    Walsall 36.25%
    Draw 22.68%
Peterborough UnitedDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.25%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Walsall

Peterborough United
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Walsall
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Walsall
3-0
Peterborough
Cook (45'), Lafferty (57' og.), Gordon (74')
Dobson (48')

Woodyard (61')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Peterborough
1-1
Walsall
Toney (47')
Maddison (73'), O'Malley (89')
Osbourne (45')
Cook (36')
Feb 27, 2018 7.45pm
Peterborough
2-1
Walsall
Bogle (39'), Taylor (52')
Doughty (62')
Ngoy (9')
Fitzwater (11'), Dobson (36'), Chambers (70')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Walsall
1-1
Peterborough
Oztumer (38')
Chambers (26')
Edwards (72')
Grant (28'), Edwards (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Walsall
2-0
Peterborough
Oztumer (92'), Morris (97')
Chambers (50'), Jackson (64'), Bakayoko (79'), Dobson (95')

Grant (34'), McGee (94')
Forrester (94')