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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Reading |
| 58.4% ( | 22.66% ( | 18.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( | 47.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( | 69.95% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( | 16.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( | 45.39% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( | 39.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.07% ( | 75.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.94% |