Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.