Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.