FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Stockport

Eze (4')
Munoz (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Touray (60'), Knoyle (76'), Connolly (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Stockport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Stockport County
39.19% ( 0.38)	24.93% ( 0.15)	35.87% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 57.91% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-0.76)

45.43% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24% (

-0.73)

67.76% (

0.73)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.15)

23.01% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

-0.21)

56.82% (

0.21)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

-0.65)

24.78% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65% (

-0.91)

59.35% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 39.19%

Stockport County 35.87%

Draw 24.93%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.87%