/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
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Omar Marmoush
19'
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Omar Marmoush
24'
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Omar Marmoush
33'
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James McAtee
84'
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Bruno Guimaraes
50'
Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.81%) and 3-1 (6.76%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
55.63%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
20.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Newcastle United
23.86%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
66.12%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.68%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
31.32%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
47.23%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
52.77%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
28.24%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
71.76%
▲
(+0.35)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
88.57%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
11.43%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
63.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
36.22%
▲
(+0.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
74.66%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
25.34%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
39.87%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 1.5
60.13%
▲
(+0.48)
Score analysis
Manchester City
55.63%
Draw
20.51%
Newcastle United
23.86%
Manchester City
2-1
@
9.35%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.63%
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.63%
Draw
1-1
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.51%
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.51%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
5.92%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 23.86%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
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News
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