Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.