Champions League
Real Madrid
Feb 19, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Man City
  • Kylian Mbappe 4' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 33' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 38' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 61' goal
  • yellowcard Ilkay Gundogan 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 47'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 90'+2'

Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 55.18% ▼ (-0.52)
Draw 20.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Manchester City 24.79% ▲ (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.2% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.16% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 27.84% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 51.45% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 48.54% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 32.09% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 4.5 67.91% ▼ (-0.36)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 10.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34% ▲ (+0.08)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 0.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 1.5 43.58% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 1.5 56.41% ▼ (-0.73)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 55.18%
Draw 20.02%
Manchester City 24.79%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.02%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.79%

Head to Head

Champions League
Man City
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 80' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 60'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 86'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+2'
Champions League
Man City
Apr 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Jack Grealish 59' yellowcard
  • Josko Gvardiol 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 76' goal
  • Rodri 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrygo 12'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 38'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 90'+4'
Champions League
Real Madrid
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Man City
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 1' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 12' goal
  • Rodrygo 14' goal
  • Federico Valverde 79' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 81' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Silva 2'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 37'
  • goal Phil Foden 66'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 71'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 88'
Champions League
Man City
May 17, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Bernardo Silva 23' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 37' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 76' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+1' goal
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Vinicius Junior 36' goal
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 67'
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Man City
  • Luka Modric 9' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 65' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 90' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+1' goal
  • Karim Benzema 95' goal
  • Federico Valverde 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 9'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 73'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 101'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 113'

Form Data

Osasuna 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Man City 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico
Leganes 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Espanyol 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Brest 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Leyton Orient 1 - 2 Man City
Arsenal 5 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Brugge
Man City 3 - 1 Chelsea

Build-up

News
News
News
News