La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 15, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Budimir (58' pen.)
Areso (48'), Cruz (52'), Oroz (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (15')
Ancelotti (21'), Camavinga (57')
Bellingham (39')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham reacts after being sent off on February 15, 2025

Real Madrid learn length of Jude Bellingham ban as Los Blancos make appeal decision

Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham receives a two-match ban following his controversial red card against Osasuna as Los Blancos decide whether to appeal the decision.

Feb 19, 16:15

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham on September 21, 2024

Jude Bellingham red card: Real Madrid midfielder at risk of 12-game suspension after referee "miscommunication"

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham is at risk of a mammoth 12-game domestic suspension following his red card in Los Blancos' 1-1 La Liga draw with Osasuna.

Feb 16, 23:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man City 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, February 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
17.83% ( -0.86)	21.87% ( -0.59)	60.29% ( 1.44)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

1.17)

46.09% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

1.1)

68.4% (

-1.1)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

-0.3)

39.5% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

-0.28)

76.19% (

0.27)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

0.87)

14.85% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.82% (

1.63)

43.17% (

-1.63)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 17.83%

Real Madrid 60.27%

Draw 21.87%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.83%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.78% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 3% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.27%