Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Man City

Hudson-Odoi (83')
Gibbs-White (27'), Yates (76'), Hudson-Odoi (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (32'), Nunes (56')

Reaction

Pep Guardiola's "big problem" assessed amid Kevin De Bruyne uncertainty as Man City Champions League prediction is made

There is a "definite need" for Man City to sign a new creative midfielder to address the "big problem" that was evident in their 1-0 Premier League defeat to Nottingham Forest, Citizens expert Steven McInerney tells Sports Mole.

Mar 10, 18:42

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on March 8, 2025

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Man City: Pep Guardiola equals unwanted record, makes "10 finals" claim after latest Premier League defeat

Pep Guardiola equals an unwanted personal record in his managerial career after watching his Man City side suffer a 1-0 defeat at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League.

Mar 8, 15:46

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Ipswich (5-4 pen.)
Monday, March 3 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 1 at 5.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester City
29.81% ( -0.35)	23.17% ( 0.03)	47.01% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.91% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

-0.35)

39.21% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.45% (

-0.37)

61.54% (

0.37)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.4)

25.4% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.55)

60.21% (

0.54)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.02)

17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.87% (

-0.02)

47.12% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 29.81%

Manchester City 47.01%

Draw 23.17%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.81%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.17%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.01%