Champions League
PSG
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
Aston Villa
  • Desire Doue 39' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 49' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 17'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 35'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 66.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 18.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Aston Villa 15.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.39% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 34.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 43.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 56.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 90.49%
Under 0.5 9.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 64.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.47%
Over 1.5 27.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.24%

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 66.66%
Draw 18.2%
Aston Villa 15.14%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.59%
3-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.47%
4-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.93%
4-2 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 66.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.2%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.14%

Form Data

PSG 1 - 0 Angers
Dunkerque 2 - 4 PSG
St Etienne 1 - 6 PSG
PSG 3 - 1 Marseille
Liverpool 0 - 1 PSG
Rennes 1 - 4 PSG
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Brighton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Preston 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Brugge
Brentford 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Brugge 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Build-up

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