Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Lucas Stassin 9' goal
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 26' yellowcard
  • Yvann Macon 68' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 43'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 50'
  • goal Desire Doue 53'
  • goal Joao Neves 62'
  • goal Desire Doue 66'
  • goal Ibrahim Mbaye 90'

Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 St Etienne
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lucas Stassin

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 7.45pm
PSG 3 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembele

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Saint-Etienne 8.13% (-0.14)
Draw 12.77% (-0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain 79.09% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.19% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 26.81% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 52.75% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 47.25% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 33.31% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 66.69% (+0.06)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 58.17% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 41.82% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 21.71% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 78.28% (+0.29)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 94.67% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 5.32% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 79.06% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20.93% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 8.13%
Draw 12.77%
Paris Saint-Germain 79.09%
Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 2.48% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 8.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.69% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.77%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-2 @ 9.58% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 9.36% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 6.87% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 4.03% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.04)
1-5 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.97% (+0.03)
1-6 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 79.09%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 23' goal
  • Lucas Beraldo 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Mouton 58'
  • goal Zuriko Davitashvili 64'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Bouchouari 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 42' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 47' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 52' goal
  • Idrissa Gueye 56' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 9'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 16'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nelson Sissoko 18' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 23' goal
  • Ryad Boudebouz 32' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 35' yellowcard
  • Timothee Kolodziejczak 45' redcard
  • yellowcard Juan Bernat 33'
  • goal Marquinhos 45'+1'
  • goal Angel di Maria 79'
  • goal Marquinhos 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2021 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 79' goal
  • Presnel Kimpembe 85' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 87' goal
  • Mauro Icardi 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Yvan Neyou 57'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 78'
  • goal Romain Hamouma 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Romain Hamouma 19' goal
  • Panagiotis Retsos 77' yellowcard
  • goal Moise Kean 22'
  • yellowcard Julian Draxler 83'
Coupe de France
Jul 24, 2020 8.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de France
  • Neymar 14' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 29' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 29' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 31' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 2'
  • yellowcard Romain Hamouma 29'
  • yellowcard Jessy Moulin 29'
  • redcard Loic Perrin 31'
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 37'
  • yellowcard Yann M'Vila 51'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 90'