Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 6
PSG

Stassin (9')
Bouchouari (26'), Macon (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ramos (43' pen.), Kvaratskhelia (50'), Doue (53', 66'), Neves (62'), Mbaye (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
8.13% ( -0.13)	12.77% ( -0.08)	79.09% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.19% (

-0.05)

26.81% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.75% (

-0.06)

47.25% (

0.06)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17% (

-0.33)

41.82% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

-0.29)

78.28% (

0.28)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.67% (

0.02)

5.32% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.06% (

0.07)

20.93% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 8.13%

Paris Saint-Germain 79.09%

Draw 12.77%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 8.13%	1-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77%	0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.34% Total : 79.09%