Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%).