Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
A-A
St Etienne

Savanier (15')

aban.

Stassin (11', 53')
Davitashvili (7'), Bernauer (9')
Bernauer (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%).

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Saint-Etienne
40.87% ( -0.4)	24.24% ( 0.22)	34.89% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

-1.01)

42.35% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

-1.02)

64.76% (

1.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.61)

20.86% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

-0.97)

53.56% (

0.98)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.37)

23.9% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.53)

58.11% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 40.87%

Saint-Etienne 34.89%

Draw 24.24%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.89%