Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 0
Montpellier

Clauss (30'), Boudaoui (65')
Ndayishimiye (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fayad (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Lyon
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
56.98% ( -1.23)	21.95% ( 0.26)	21.07% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 56.87% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.31% (

0.16)

41.69% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.91% (

0.16)

64.09% (

-0.16)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

-0.33)

14.44% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62% (

-0.65)

42.37% (

0.65)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

1.05)

33.53% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

1.13)

70.17% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Nice 56.98%

Montpellier HSC 21.07%

Draw 21.94%

Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 3% Total : 56.98%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.07%