Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Nice

Arnar Haraldsson (48'), Diakite (63')
Andre (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diop (29')
Clauss (42'), Boudaoui (83'), Ndombele (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bastia 0-1 Nice
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Nice
44.34% ( -0.5)	25.15% ( 0.01)	30.5% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

0.17)

47.88% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

0.16)

70.06% (

-0.16)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.15)

21.6% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

-0.23)

54.7% (

0.24)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

0.42)

29.28% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

0.52)

65.24% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Lille 44.34%

Nice 30.5%

Draw 25.15%

Lille	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.34%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.5%