Coupe de France
Marseille
Jan 14, 2025 8.10pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Lille
  • 38' goal
  • Neal Maupay 62' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 54'
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 69'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 90'

Marseille vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Lille

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Marseille 42.2% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 25.78% ▲ (+0.21)
Lille 32.01% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.05% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 50% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 2.5 49.99% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 3.5 28.02% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 3.5 71.97% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 4.5 13.32% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 86.67% ▲ (+0.49)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 76.48% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 0.5 23.52% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 42.44% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 57.55% ▲ (+0.82)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 70.67% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 29.32% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 34.7% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 65.29% ▲ (+0.32)

Score analysis

Marseille 42.2%
Draw 25.77%
Lille 32.02%
Marseille
1-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 42.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
Lille
0-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.02%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Marseille
Dec 14, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Lille
  • Quentin Merlin 17' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 86' yellowcard
  • Pol Lirola 90'+5' redcard
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 63'
  • goal Bafode Diakite 87'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Andre Gomes 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Lille
Apr 5, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Marseille
  • Tiago Santos 21' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 54' goal
  • Remy Cabella 71' goal
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 84' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 27'
  • yellowcard Samuel Gigot 52'
  • yellowcard Quentin Merlin 57'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 77'
  • goal Ismaily 81'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Marseille
Nov 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Lille
  • Amine Harit 42' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 27'
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 70'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Yazici 73'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
Lille
May 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Marseille
  • Jonathan David 50' goal
  • Jonathan Bamba 72' goal
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 29'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Marseille
Sep 10, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Lille
  • Alexis Sanchez 26' goal
  • Samuel Gigot 61' goal
  • goal Ismaily 12'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Marseille
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Lille
  • Matteo Guendouzi 4' yellowcard
  • Cengiz Under 75' goal
  • goal Sven Botman 15'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 30'
  • redcard Benjamin Andre 32'
  • yellowcard Ivo Grbic 55'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 55'
  • yellowcard Isaac Lihadji 86'

Form Data

Rennes 1 - 2 Marseille
Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre
St Etienne 0 - 4 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 1 Lille
St Etienne 0 - 2 Marseille
Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
Auxerre 0 - 0 Lille
Lille 1 - 1 Nantes
Rouen 0 - 1 Lille
Marseille 1 - 1 Lille
Lille 3 - 2 Sturm Graz
Lille 3 - 1 Brest