Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Nice

Bastia
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-0)
Moukoko (61'), Cho (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Bastia and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Nice

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 2-4 Nice
Saturday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
BastiaDrawNice
35.09% (0.014000000000003 0.01)26.82% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.1% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)53.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.11% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 35.09%
    Nice 38.09%
    Draw 26.81%
BastiaDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Bastia vs Nice

Bastia
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Nice
66.7%
48
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2017 7.45pm
Bastia
1-1
Nice
Oniangue (17')
Cahuzac (56'), Mostefa (91')
Cahuzac (64')
Souquet (33')
Nov 27, 2016 4pm
Nice
1-1
Bastia
Plea (11')
Crivelli (60')
Bifouma (29'), Cahuzac (45'), Nangis (77')
Feb 26, 2016 7.30pm
Nice
0-2
Bastia

Koziello (16'), Le Marchand (55'), Traore (66')
Baysse (57')
Diallo (61'), Ayite (64')
Mostefa (24'), Modesto (26'), Cahuzac (56'), Danic (69'), Djiku (72')
Sep 19, 2015 7pm
Bastia
1-3
Nice
Danic (23')
Marange (88')
Mendy (33'), Germain (40'), Benrahma (94')
Mallmann (85'), Pied (87')
> Match Report
Mar 7, 2015 7pm
Bastia
2-1
Nice
Gillet (26'), Sio (68')
Sio (3'), Diakite (8'), Cahuzac (52')
Eduardo (18')
Diawara (14'), Hult (27'), Amavi (77')
Puel (44'), Diawara (83')
> Match Report