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Tom Ducrocq
19'
-
Tom Ducrocq
20'
-
Felix Tomi
23'
-
Lamine Cisse
40'
-
Lisandru Tramoni
68'
-
Maxime Ble
89'
-
Jesah Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
16'
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Ivane Chegra
37'
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Everson Junior Pereira da Silva
42'
Bastia vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
Result
Bastia
60.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
23.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Ajaccio
15.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
41.39%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
57.33%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
21.84%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
78.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
9.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
90.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5
81.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
18.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
49.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
50.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5
50.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
49.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
16%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
84%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Bastia
60.5%
Draw
23.89%
Ajaccio
15.6%
Bastia
1-0
@
15.39%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.5%
2-0 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.96%
0-0 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.89%
0-0 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.89%
Ajaccio
0-1
@
6.55%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 15.6%
1-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 15.6%