Ligue 2 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
4 - 0
Ajaccio

Ducrocq (19' pen.), Tomi (23'), Cisse (40'), Tramoni (68')
Ducrocq (20'), Ble (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (16'), Chegra (37')
Junior Pereira da Silva (42')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 3-2 Bastia
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-2 Annecy
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
60.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)23.9% (0.023 0.02)15.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)57.33% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.16% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)18.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)50.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.93% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)49.06% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)84% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 60.5%
    Ajaccio 15.6%
    Draw 23.89%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 15.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Ajaccio
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Ajaccio
0-0
Bastia
Everson (1'), Youssouf (20'), Huard (52'), Bamba (67'), Bamba (68'), Ibayi (78')
Puch-Herrantz (88')
Janneh (80')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Ajaccio
1-2
Bastia
Ibayi (90+5')
Maggiotti (11' pen.), Bianchini (24' pen.)
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-0
Ajaccio
Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')