Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Lorient
35.42% ( 1.01)	27.88% ( 0.72)	36.7% ( -1.73)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.19% (

-2.7)

57.81% (

2.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.46% (

-2.17)

78.54% (

2.18)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.7)

31.01% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.83)

67.32% (

0.84)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-2.34)

30.21% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.63% (

-2.89)

66.37% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

Bastia 35.42%

Lorient 36.7%

Draw 27.87%

Bastia	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.7%