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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Guingamp

Lorient
3 - 1
Guingamp

Katseris (8'), Basilio (42' og.), Soumano (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Louiserre (57' pen.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Lorient
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Guingamp 3-0 Grenoble
Saturday, November 2 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawGuingamp
50.45% (-0.619 -0.62)24.89% (0.138 0.14)24.65% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.162 -0.16)50.53% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.143 -0.14)72.45% (0.136 0.14)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.319 -0.32)20.03% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75% (-0.509 -0.51)52.24% (0.502 0.5)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.325 0.33)35.17% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (0.34 0.34)71.92% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 50.44%
    Guingamp 24.65%
    Draw 24.88%
LorientDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Guingamp
1-1
Lorient
Siwe (25')
Pagis (60')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 24
Guingamp
2-1
Lorient
Pele (37'), M'Changama (90')
Niakate (27'), Sorbon (61')
Wissa (6')
Aug 31, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lorient
0-1
Guingamp

Abergel (25')
Laporte (89' og.)
Pele (27'), Valdivia (57')
Jan 14, 2017 7pm
Lorient
3-1
Guingamp
Waris (72', 90'), Cabot (82')
Waris (58'), Mvuemba (79')
Salibur (40')
Briand (19'), Didot (48'), Deaux (86')
Sep 21, 2016 6pm
Guingamp
1-0
Lorient
Briand (63' pen.)
Blas (83')

Mara (45'), Selemanie (62')